Assessment of the close approach frequency and collision probability for satellites in different configurations of large constellations

The Earth orbital environment is drastically changing due to an intensification of the space activities. In particular, several projects of large constellations, proposed for the next years for communications purpose like global internet access, Internet of Things, or for Earth observations, will lead to the deployment of several thousands of new satellites at an unprecedented rate. It is a crucial challenge for space traffic management, which will deal with a great number of satellite conjunctions, potentially causing a collision with damaging consequences for the constellation itself and the space environment sustainability.In this paper, we investigate the close approach frequency and the cumulative collision probability for each referenced constellation. For this purpose, we compute the orbital evolution of satellites in different constellations during the lifecycle, from the deployment to the decommissioning, and we apply the CUBE algorithm and the Foster method to assess the collision probability with the background space debris population assuming a constant uncertainty in position. We show the variation of risk defined by the close approach frequency and the cumulative collision probability as a function of the proposed configuration. In particular, satellites of the Iridium and Kuiper constellation, but also satellite of the Telesat constellation on polar orbits are the most exposed at a collision. Moreover, the decommissioning phase contribute for a major part to the final cumulative collision probability.     

详细化学反应机理对预混丙烷钝体熄火模拟影响

航空发动机熄火预测是重要关键问题之一，湍流和化学反应的非线性相互作用使预测非常困难。本文采用大涡模拟（LES）对湍流进行高精度模拟，采用概率密度函数输运方程湍流燃烧模型（TPDF）耦合JL4、Z66和H73三种化学反应机理，对预混丙烷钝体熄火现象和规律进行研究。JL4的反应机理最简单，反应释热快，局部放热高，火焰宽度大，火焰两侧温度梯度大，燃烧更加趋于稳定，无法模拟出熄火状态。H73机理绝热火焰温度低，火焰温度低，回流区中部OH含量高；在近熄火状态，大量CO被氧化，释放热量过高导致无法模拟出熄火现象。Z66机理可以模拟出火焰正常状态，在低当量比下也可以模拟出熄火状态。本文算例中，局部Da数大于1的区域超过35%则会发生熄火。     

Fault mode probability factor based fault-tolerant control for dissimilar redundant actuation system

This paper presents a Fault Mode Probability Factor (FMPF) based Fault-Tolerant Control (FTC) strategy for multiple faults of Dissimilar Redundant Actuation System (DRAS) composed of Hydraulic Actuator (HA) and Electro-Hydrostatic Actuator (EHA). The long-term service and severe working conditions can result in multiple gradual faults which can ultimately degrade the system performance, resulting in the system model drift into the fault state characterized with parameter uncertainty. The paper proposes to address this problem by using the historical statistics of the multiple gradual faults and the proposed FMPF to amend the system model with parameter uncertainty. To balance the system model precision and computation time, a Moving Window (MW) method is used to determine the applied historical statistics. The FMPF based FTC strategy is developed for the amended system model where the system estimation and Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR) are updated at the end of system sampling period. The simulations of DRAS system subjected to multiple faults have been performed and the results indicate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.     

飞机燃油油量测量及姿态误差修正方法

提出了一种基于 CAD技术的航空燃油油量实时测量方法。采用三维实体造型技术 ,建立了某飞机机翼油箱模型 ,利用油量传感器的输出值及飞机姿态信息 ,对燃油油量进行实时测量及姿态误差修正。     

平面形状误差分离方法的比较分析

就十种典型的精密平面形状误差测量－分离方法的权函数及其零点，作了分析比较。按形状误差谐波抑制最小准则，论证了五点式正交逐次三点法、九点式正交逐次三点法、复合三点法、不对称二维混合法和不对称四点法优于其他方法，不对称四点法则较为理想。     

自由飞试验模型惯性矩的测定

作者根据多年来自由飞试验的实践,叙述了自由飞模型惯性矩的调试、计算、误差分析与处理的经验与方法。     

最小二乘直线函数的特性分析

证明了最小二乘直线函数是一种严格的凸函数。F(a,b)=∑(y-ax_i-b)~2是一个椭圆抛物面。a=[n∑x_iy_i-∑x_i∑y_i]/[n∑x_i^2-(∑x_i)~2]和b=[∑x_i^2∑y_i-∑x_i∑x_i∑y_i]/[n∑x_i^2-(∑x_i)~2]仅表示极值点。a=∑x_iy_i/∑x_i和 b=[∑x_i^2∑y_i-∑x_i∑x_iy_i]/[n∑x_i^2]在某些情况下可以是极值点,但不是在每种情况下都是极值点。     

高精度圆度仪误差分离装置研制及测量不确定度分析

介绍了一种由程控型多齿分度台和高精度圆度仪组合而成的全自动误差分离装置，该装置能够使圆度仪主轴回转误差从被测工件测量结果中可靠分离，从而极大地提高了圆度测量不确定度，本文对该装置测量不确定度进行了分析。     

多点法测量形状误差的补偿控制系统

经过对误差分离技术理论进行了分析之后,又对误差补偿技术进行了研究,并建立了多点法测量形状误差的补偿控制系统。通过补偿主轴径向误差运动,提高了工件的圆度误差和圆柱度误差。     

门限自回归模型参数的局部正交设计寻优法

在采用点值图确定门限区间个数的基础上，对门自回归模型中门限值、滞后步长、各门限区间模型阶数，利用正交设计方法寻优，计算工作量锐减，却可得到精度较高的预报模型。